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How to predict financial risks with AI under the new AI Act

Published on November 13, 2025 | 2 min read

Gráfico financiero digital con un escudo protector simbolizando la predicción de riesgos con IA bajo la Ley de IA de la UE.

The recent approval of the EU's Artificial Intelligence Act marks a turning point for the financial sector. While AI offers unprecedented tools for predicting and mitigating risks, the new regulations demand a more rigorous and transparent approach. In this article, we explore how financial institutions can continue to innovate and protect their assets while ensuring full regulatory compliance.

The AI Law and its Impact on Financial Risk Models

The new AI Act classifies many systems used in finance, such as credit scoring and solvency assessment, as "high-risk" systems. This designation entails strict requirements that must be met before implementation. Organizations must ensure maximum transparency in their algorithms, impeccable data governance to prevent discriminatory bias, and effective human oversight that can intervene and correct AI decisions when necessary. Ignoring these guidelines not only carries financial penalties but also a serious reputational risk.

Strategies for Implementing Predictive AI in Compliance with Regulations

Adapting doesn't mean abandoning the predictive power of AI, but rather building more robust and reliable systems. The key lies in adopting Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI), which allows us to unravel the "black box" of algorithms and understand how they arrive at their conclusions. This is not only crucial for legal compliance, but also increases internal confidence in the models. Furthermore, it is essential to establish continuous auditing frameworks and stress tests to ensure that the models behave fairly and accurately over time, adapting to market changes without introducing new biases.

In short, the AI Act is not a hindrance, but a catalyst for more responsible innovation. Companies that embrace this new paradigm of transparent and ethical AI will not only avoid regulatory risks, but also build a strong competitive advantage based on trust and reliability. At Codice AI, we help companies in the financial sector navigate this transition by implementing powerful AI solutions that are fully compliant with the new legislation.

Key Points of the Article

  • The EU AI Act categorizes many financial risk prediction systems as "high risk", requiring strict compliance.
  • Transparency, data governance, and human oversight are the fundamental pillars for regulatory compliance.
  • Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is an essential tool for understanding and validating the decisions of predictive models.
  • Adapting to the new regulations not only mitigates legal risks, but also strengthens trust and competitive advantage.

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About the Author: Sergio Eternod

Specialist at the intersection of corporate finance and data science. I help companies transform complex data into clear, profitable strategic decisions through Artificial Intelligence.

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